McCain Leading in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina
It's become popular to dismiss McCain because he has fallen behind Giuliani in national polls. But, at the risk of sounding like a broken record on this, McCain has the Bush Team that did him in in South Carolina in 2000 on his payroll (and I have done the research for my book, these guys are nasty and they are connected).
McCain knows if he wins the primaries and caucuses, those national polls will change quickly. Progressives dismiss his chances at their own peril, as this man is still leading this thing based on the aformentioned polls, and is still the most likely of the current crop of contenders to get the nomination.
A Gingrich or Thompson entry may scramble things, or maybe the GOP will figure out a way to run Reagan's corpse, which they all secretly wish they could do anyhow.
In any case, McCain will still need to find a way to win back Independents and moderates to put the nail in the proverbial coffin (I know it sounds like I'm talking about Ronnie again, but no, I meant the GOP nomination), and well, I just happen to have a piece about that in a large metropolitan newspaper tomorrow.
Will link when it's up.