Saturday, August 04, 2007

Democratic Seats Secure, Republicans at Risk

The latest strategy memo from James Carville and Stan Greenberg touts a recent poll in the 70 most competitive Congressional districts which shows the Democrats "in a strong position to hold their gains from 2006 and move far into Republican territory in 2008."

"Indeed, Democrats hold an 18-point electoral advantage in their own districts while Republicans are losing their districts by 5 points overall -- 7 points in their most vulnerable districts, 51 to 44 percent."

Key finding: "Republican incumbents are paying a big price for the deep discontent in the country and for aligning with the President who is no more popular in the Republican districts than in the Democratic ones.